TY - JOUR
T1 - Building better forecasting pipelines
T2 - A generalizable guide to multi-output spatio-temporal forecasting
AU - Arias-Garzón, Daniel
AU - Tabares-Soto, Reinel
AU - Ruz, Gonzalo A.
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2024
PY - 2025/1/1
Y1 - 2025/1/1
N2 - The demand for accurate Multi-Output Spatio-temporal Forecasting is rising in areas like public safety, urban mobility, and climate variability. Traditional methods struggle with model calibration and data integration. This paper presents a methodological guideline for creating forecasting pipelines that handle multi-output forecasting complexities. Using a uniform methodology tested on three diverse datasets, the framework combines genetic algorithms and advanced models to optimize forecasting. Our evaluation shows significant performance improvements, with better adaptability to urban and rural datasets, aiding decision-making in spatio-temporal analysis. The framework achieved a 20% average improvement in the R2 metric across all datasets, outperforming benchmark models.
AB - The demand for accurate Multi-Output Spatio-temporal Forecasting is rising in areas like public safety, urban mobility, and climate variability. Traditional methods struggle with model calibration and data integration. This paper presents a methodological guideline for creating forecasting pipelines that handle multi-output forecasting complexities. Using a uniform methodology tested on three diverse datasets, the framework combines genetic algorithms and advanced models to optimize forecasting. Our evaluation shows significant performance improvements, with better adaptability to urban and rural datasets, aiding decision-making in spatio-temporal analysis. The framework achieved a 20% average improvement in the R2 metric across all datasets, outperforming benchmark models.
KW - Deep Learning
KW - Forecasting
KW - Genetic algorithm
KW - Multi-output
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85203832574&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.eswa.2024.125384
DO - 10.1016/j.eswa.2024.125384
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85203832574
SN - 0957-4174
VL - 259
JO - Expert Systems with Applications
JF - Expert Systems with Applications
M1 - 125384
ER -