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The price-stock relationship in the copper market: A surprising approach

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution › peer-review

Abstract

The widely accepted inverse relationship between copper prices and stocks, has been commonly used by analysts to explain the behavior of the copper market and to forecast future copper prices. However, empirical data have not shown such a clear relationship between copper prices and stocks. Existing evidence only indicates a weak long-run relationship that vanishes in some periods. In this paper a simple comprehensive model is provided, which explains both parallel and opposite direction movements between prices and stocks. Former are explained mainly by stocks demand expansions-contractions while the latter are in essence due to increases in the supply curve. Furthermore, econometric estimations are provided, thus giving a powerful tool to forecast and explain price developments of the copper market.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication4th International Conference COPPER 99-COBRE 99
EditorsG.A. Eltringham, N.L. Piret, M. Sahoo, G.A. Eltringham, N.L. Piret, M. Sahoo
Pages135-149
Number of pages15
StatePublished - 1999
Externally publishedYes
EventFourth International Conference COPPER 99 - COBRE 99 - Phoenix, AZ, United States
Duration: 10 Oct 1999 → 13 Oct 1999

Publication series

Name4th International Conference COPPER 99-COBRE 99

Conference

ConferenceFourth International Conference COPPER 99 - COBRE 99
Country/TerritoryUnited States
CityPhoenix, AZ
Period10/10/99 → 13/10/99

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