The Matérn Model: A Journey Through Statistics, Numerical Analysis and Machine Learning

Emilio Porcu, Moreno Bevilacqua, Robert Schaback, Chris J. Oates

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

3 Scopus citations

Abstract

The Matérn model has been a cornerstone of spatial statistics for more than half a century. More recently, the Matérn model has been exploited in disciplines as diverse as numerical analysis, approximation theory, computational statistics, machine learning, and probability theory. In this article, we take a Matérn-based journey across these disciplines. First, we reflect on the importance of the Matérn model for estimation and prediction in spatial statistics, establishing also connections to other disciplines in which the Matérn model has been influential. Then, we position the Matérn model within the literature on big data and scalable computation: the SPDE approach, the Vecchia likelihood approximation, and recent applications in Bayesian computation are all discussed. Finally, we review recent devlopments, including flexible alternatives to the Matérn model, whose performance we compare in terms of estimation, prediction, screening effect, computation, and Sobolev regularity properties.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)469-492
Number of pages24
JournalStatistical Science
Volume39
Issue number3
DOIs
StatePublished - 2024
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Approximation theory
  • Sobolev spaces
  • compact support
  • covariance
  • kernel
  • kriging
  • machine learning
  • maximum likelihood
  • reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces
  • spatial statistics

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