TY - JOUR
T1 - Risk management under extreme events
AU - Fernandez, Viviana
N1 - Funding Information:
Funds provided by an institutional grant of the Hewlett Foundation to the Center for Applied Economics (CEA) at the Department of Industrial Engineering are greatly acknowledged. This article benefited from comments of participants at the 2004 Midwest Finance Association Meeting, Chicago, March 2004.
PY - 2005
Y1 - 2005
N2 - This article presents two applications of extreme value theory (EVT) to financial markets: computation of value at risk (VaR) and cross-section dependence of extreme returns (i.e., tail dependence). We use a sample comprised of the United States, Europe, Asia, and Latin America. Our main findings are the following. First, on average, EVT gives the most accurate estimate of VaR. Second, tail dependence of paired returns decreases substantially when both heteroscedasticity and serial correlation are filtered out by a multivariate GARCH model. Both findings are in agreement with previous research in this area for other financial markets.
AB - This article presents two applications of extreme value theory (EVT) to financial markets: computation of value at risk (VaR) and cross-section dependence of extreme returns (i.e., tail dependence). We use a sample comprised of the United States, Europe, Asia, and Latin America. Our main findings are the following. First, on average, EVT gives the most accurate estimate of VaR. Second, tail dependence of paired returns decreases substantially when both heteroscedasticity and serial correlation are filtered out by a multivariate GARCH model. Both findings are in agreement with previous research in this area for other financial markets.
KW - Extremal dependence
KW - Extreme value theory
KW - Value at risk
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=12944284524&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.irfa.2004.06.012
DO - 10.1016/j.irfa.2004.06.012
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:12944284524
SN - 1057-5219
VL - 14
SP - 113
EP - 148
JO - International Review of Financial Analysis
JF - International Review of Financial Analysis
IS - 2
ER -