Effects of human mobility and behavior on disease transmission in a COVID-19 mathematical model

Juan Pablo Gutiérrez-Jara, Katia Vogt-Geisse, Maritza Cabrera, Fernando Córdova-Lepe, María Teresa Muñoz-Quezada

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

1 Scopus citations

Abstract

Human interactions and perceptions about health risk are essential to understand the evolution over the course of a pandemic. We present a Susceptible-Exposed-Asymptomatic-Infectious-Recovered-Susceptible mathematical model with quarantine and social-distance-dependent transmission rates, to study COVID-19 dynamics. Human activities are split across different location settings: home, work, school, and elsewhere. Individuals move from home to the other locations at rates dependent on their epidemiological conditions and maintain a social distancing behavior, which varies with their location. We perform simulations and analyze how distinct social behaviors and restrictive measures affect the dynamic of the disease within a population. The model proposed in this study revealed that the main focus on the transmission of COVID-19 is attributed to the “home” location setting, which is understood as family gatherings including relatives and close friends. Limiting encounters at work, school and other locations will only be effective if COVID-19 restrictions occur simultaneously at all those locations and/or contact tracing or social distancing measures are effectively and strictly implemented, especially at the home setting.

Original languageEnglish
Article number10840
JournalScientific Reports
Volume12
Issue number1
DOIs
StatePublished - Dec 2022
Externally publishedYes

Fingerprint

Dive into the research topics of 'Effects of human mobility and behavior on disease transmission in a COVID-19 mathematical model'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this