A model for the space-time spread of pine shoot moth

Roberto Cominetti, Jaime San Martín

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapterpeer-review

Abstract

We develop a diffusion-type model for the space-time spread of the pine shootmoth in the south of Chile. The model is stated as a discrete time evolution with non-overlapping generations and combines a drift term determined by the dominant winds with a filter term that accounts for the fact that the moth is specific to pine trees. We fit the model using the captures on pheromone traps on the two consecutive seasons 1991-1992 as well as the observed average spread of the plague during the period 1984-1999.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationInternational Series in Operations Research and Management Science
PublisherSpringer New York LLC
Pages1-14
Number of pages14
StatePublished - 2007

Publication series

NameInternational Series in Operations Research and Management Science
Volume99
ISSN (Print)0884-8289

Keywords

  • Diffusion
  • Plague
  • Shoot moth

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